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PARAGUAY – Preparation stage at Salitre Cue (July 2021).

Weather/Situation: Low rainfalls were so far registered compared with the historical average for the same period. Only some patchy rains were recorded which didn’t allow us so far the fully our artificial lake (480 ha). We are still missing 50 cm of water and the level of the river is currently to low to pump the balance.

The latest forecasts are not favourable for the coming months as lower rains than usually are predicted for July and August with higher temperature than usually for this period ; the situation is expected to get worse in September when the sowing season of rice and soybean will started.

It’s likely that La Niña will redevelop in the coming months with a peak in December/January for our region. A more intense drought than in 2020/21 is expected as you can read in the article from ABC Colour.

Soybean land preparation: 650 ha among 1,100 are in the final stage of preparation and we are currently performing the last labour in block B. The hatched soybean area will be terminated by the end of 2nd week of July. In the reaming area, we have two passes to make with ploughing machines – calcareo to apply and another final plough to finish the sequence.

In order to optimise field-level management, we are also going to adopted Real Time Kinematic (RTK) technology using GPS guidance systems to ensure we have the most accurate picture of the field and achieve the highest level of precision to create an accurate well balanced design. We are already using this technology for our rice activity and we will replicate it for soybean cultivation. Basically, topographical data collected are then processed with a specific software to perform optimal land levelling with the tractors on autopilot. The system not only offer higher accuracy but is also reducing the amount of time it takes to complete our land-levelling operations. All those information can also be reused for future seasons.

We have also cleaned drainage for soybean plots as you can see below.

Rice: Given the high probability of a new drought, we are evaluating with our partner GPSA the possibility to reduce our rice surface exposure and to reallocate part to soybean cultivation. Our “base rice surface” is amounting to 1,650 ha of which we believe around 30% can be reallocate this cycle to soybean cultivation. Furthermore, outlooks for soybean are attractive as there is a strong demand led by China and stocks are low.

ARGENTINA – Physical account at Curupi Pora farm (July 2021).

Operation: As part of our fiscal year end closing procedures, we are currently performing the physical account of our herd.

The process is more complex and lengthened because of the sanitary restrictions. Under normal conditions, the process is already heavy in terms on logistic (above 5,300 heads at the farm to pool and count) but with the worsening sanitary conditions in the northern province of Argentina and protocols to be applied, its becoming epic.

The cherry on the cake, we have also to face frosts as you can see (the climate of the region is classified as subtropical climate).

Even is this challenging environment, the quality reached of our breed (good hold, colour and uniformity of the calves) makes us proud and motivates the entire team of Curupi Pora.

We have also terminated to refresh our corral facilities. The upgraded chute will allow us to have a better service for delivery or sanitary duties.

Market news: Argentina has now returned to the global beef export trade after its earlier self-imposed 30-day suspension – but only under significant limitations, some of which are likely to last until the end of the year. Argentinean beef exporters are now permitted to export 50 % of volume recorded in 2020, measured on a monthly basis, but a complete suspension will remain on certain items. This means that around 250,000 tonnes of beef would be removed from the global beef market. The biggest loser out of this will be China as Chinese were getting around 40,000 tonnes a month in shipments, this year that will be reduced to about 20,000 tonnes.

 

 

 

ARGENTINA – Update on Curupi Pora farm activities (June 2021).

Situation/weather: After having registered some good rainfalls in March (247 mm) which have redensified the pastures and recharged our natural lagoon as well as the rainwater tanks, we have again entered in a dry period since April (rainfall: -42% in April and -75% in May compared with the historical average for the same period). According to the latest weather forecasts, a mild dry winter is anticipated…and we are just coming out from a drought season.

Cattle operation: We have currently above 5,300 heads at the farm, all in very good shape knowing that we are coming from an intense drought period.

Insemination process of the 2,258 cows in service (natural & artificial) took place mid-May, and the fertility tests will be performed by the end of June 2021. You can see below some 2 years old heifers performing their 1st service in 2021.

We are also in the process of upgrading and refreshing the corral facilities to have a better service for delivery or sanitary duties. You can see the refreshing work performed for the entry of the cattle into the chute.

Sales: We are in the process of selling 375 calves of around 150 kg at the same market conditions then before the introduction of export restrictions. We could get this great opportunity thanks to the quality of our breed (good hold, colour and uniformity of the calves).

PARAGUAY – Low rainfalls generate unrest in the Parana River and in Brazil (June 2021).

Lower rainfall in the region has impacted the Paraná river flow, which has dropped to less than half of historical averages. This affects its navigability and concerns agribusiness since a large part of crop harvests from Argentina, southern Brazil and Paraguay are exported via the ports of Santa Fe. The Paraná is one of the longest lowland rivers in the world with almost 5,000 km long.

According to the Rosario Stock Exchange, the low water level, considered as the most severe in 50 years, cost exporters already $244 million in 2020 as vessels were unable to operate or load normally. This means that Argentine and Paraguayan exporters are not able to benefit as much as they could from high international prices for agricultural products.

As our farm is situated along the river Tebicuary (a tributary to the Paraná River), we clearly face currently a shortage in water. So far, we could pump during 2 days in June, bringing our water reserve in our artificial lake (480 ha) to a bit less than 25% of its capacity. We need still 1 million liters of water to be at optimal capacity.

We are now in winter period and temperature are higher than usually for the season. Most of the times, this mean that a dry spring and summer are going to follow and that existing water reserves such as lagoons, rivers, etc will not be sufficient to compensate for the entire season the lack of water/rains. If that happens, we are going to reallocate some rice surface to soybean cultivation as this crop is not anaerobic like rice.

The situation faced currently in southeast and central-west of Brazil makes us think that dryness will hurt our rice activity in the coming season. Southeast and central-west of Brazil (2 key regions) are facing the worst drought in nearly a century, and is wreaking havoc on hydroelectric dams and crops.

As if the fallout of the drought weren’t enough, epidemiologists warn Brazil may also be facing a brutal new surge of Covid-19.

PARAGUAY – Advances in soybean land preparation at Salitre Cue (June 2021).

We are currently applying a fertilizer rich in limestone to enhance our future soybean cultivation as our soil is relatively acidic. Calcareo have been applied and incorporated so far in 300 ha among the 1,100 ha dedicated to soybean cultivation.

We are waiting for some rains to extend the process in order to get an optimal soil quality to sow soybean. Rains would also help as the soil would be more malleable after.

However, we have to face some delays in delivery of the calcareous fertilizers (calcalero) as national strike of truckers begins on May 24. Truckers union and allied organizations protest against rising fuel costs.

As for our rice activity, we are in the low season. Due to shortage of rains, we could only pump water during 10 days in April from the river and recover so far only 20% of our capacity in our artificial lake (480 ha). We have still time before the beginning of the rice sowing season (forecasted to begin on August 20) but the latest weather forecasts are predicting lower rainfall level than usually for July and August with higher temperature than usually for this period (ie winter period). We hope that we are not going to face the same shortage and drought situation than in 2020/21 … so far, forecasts are neutral for the season.

ARGENTINA – Beef becomes bone of contention as prices soar (May 2021).

On May 18, cattle farmers started a 9 day halt on cow sales to slaughterhouses to protest against the governmental decision to suspend beef exports for at least 30 days in order to moderate skyrocketing domestic meat prices.

To justify this decision, President Fernández said in an interview that “The meat issue got out of hand. The prices rise month by month without justification. We have to put it in order”. The price rises contributed to Argentine inflation, already among the highest in the world, reaching 17.6% in the 1st quarter of 2021. The cost of living soared 46.3% in the last 12 months, and beef prices roses 65.3% over the same period.

For the Argentine Rural Society President, “The damage caused by the measure will decrease the supply of meat, making prices rise as has happened in the past.” The beef industry employs around 100,000 people and Argentina exported 819 billion tons of beef and cow leather worth $3.4 billion in 2020-primarily to China and Russia. Neighbouring countries Such as Uruguay, Brazil and Paraguay will take advantage of this situation and benefit from new market opportunities for their beef.

Back in 2006 when Néstor Kirchner had risen to 40 % export taxes on beef, the dollars from the commodity price boom perhaps gave Argentina the luxury of being able to sacrifice one of its main export markets but that luxury does not exist today …even with a new commodity boom placing grain prices at near-record levels. During that period, 12.5 million head of cattle and 19,000 jobs were lost that have not yet been recovered.

With respect to our operations (over 8,600 heads in Argentina), we have decided to defer our forecasted cattle sales (mostly male calves coming from Curupi Pora farm) while waiting to have more readability. We have dense pasture at the farm currently and sale them with a higher weight.

ARGENTINA – Land clearing and vegetation control at San Bartolo farm (May 2021).

Land clearing: We have initiated a clearing operation on 500 ha in order to control the natural vegetation which is typical for the region of Salta (a formerly forest area with a subtropical highland climate). This operation will help us in the re-growth of pastures in those plots and will also facilitate the management of the cattle.

To this aim, we are only using specifically machinery and no phytosanitary products as their prices have significantly increased in the latest months. Furthermore, the results are longer to wait and in any cases, clearing machines must be used.

You can see the chopper blades in action. This machine was specifically designed to help control invasive brush, shrubs and weeds, while making cleaning or dismantling pastures much easier and faster than ever. His action is also helping to penetrate the soil enough to fracture the deeper, “dry pan” soil. This helps to prevent water run off and maintain high levels of water retention, while not hurting the existing grass or exposing the roots.

Once the dry pan soil is fractured, it enables water, air, and organic matter to penetrate deeper into the soil. This process allows grass or hay to establish deeper root beds, giving you a much more stable and hearty foliage. We hope to achieve our target of 500 ha before the rainy season will started in November, and increase our chances of pasture re-growth.

Cattle operation: We have currently around 3,000 heads at the farm. After the intense drought we faced since March 2020, the cattle need time to return to normal condition. In the meantime we continue to supplement with pellets and corn for the most sensitive categories.

Cattle service is underway and inseminations should be completed by mid-May (1,240 cows). Fertility tests should then be available by mid-end of June. For this service, we don t have big expectations given the drought experienced earlier. We will evaluate the opportunity to give the cows a 2nd chance or to sale the weakest as beef to slaughterhouses in order to stabilize the herd and reduce death ratio as well as supplementation costs.

PARAGUAY – Land preparation for soybean at Salitre Cue (May 2021).

While Paraguayan authorities took starker approach at Covid-19 with further restrictions, we have continued land preparation work for soybean cultivation next season.

By now, 50% of the entire development process has been completed on the entire surface dedicated to soybean cultivation (1,100 ha).

Soybean land preparation involves plowing to “till” or dig-up, mix, and overturn the soil as you can see on the video and pictures. It also requires harrowing to break the soil clods into smaller mass and incorporate plant residue, and leveling the field.

Given the specificities of our farm’s soil (pH), the next step will be to apply a fertilizer rich in limestone to the freshly prepared land. We expect that all land preparation work will be completed by end of July.

Regarding our rice activity and given the fact that we sold all our production, we take advantage of this situation to offer to our neighbors our drying and storage facilities in order to generate incremental revenues.

As rains are back and pumping restrictions have been lifted, we take the opportunity to fill our reservoir which was completely empty given the intense drought we face earlier this year.

PARAGUAY – Beginning of land preparation for soybean at Salitre Cue (April 2021).

As previously mentioned, we have agreed with our partner to add soybean cultivation to our mix for diversification purpose. Our objective is to develop 1,100 ha of soybean cultivation at the farm over the next 3 years.

On April 9, we have started land preparation work for soybean cultivation in block H. All the soybean area which is going to be developed was till now a complete virgin land.

 

Soybean land preparation typically involves plowing to “till” or dig-up, mix, and overturn the soil. It also requires harrowing to break the soil clods into smaller mass and incorporate plant residue, and leveling the field.

Positive outlooks for soybean cultivation: The change in eating habits in the higher income population is expected to increase demand for protein as well as the replenishment of Chinese pig herd should keep the demand for soybean high for the next years. World demand for soy is expected to grow by 1.5% per year until 2028.

Argentina, Brazil and USA Soybean carryout Vs Consumption/Use (Source: USDA/Wasde)

 

On the other side, stocks are predicted to tighten on falls in key exporters and China which pushes prices up. Soybean prices have strongly recovered in 2020 coming back to 2014 levels.

International 6-year soybean prices (USD/Bu)

Source: Bloomberg

Soybean production in Paraguay is forecasted to increase by 20% over the current decade, and we are pleased to be part of this grow.

ARGENTINA – Cuts and regrowing at Tata Cua forest (April 2021).

After the forest fire registered on 25/08/20, we have started to evacuate the slash on cutting, twigs and dead wood. It’s key to perform this operation after a fire otherwise you significantly increase the fire danger for the following year’s by leaving the dismantled crowns on the ground forming a thin layer of fine dry fuel.

Furthermore, trees weakened by fire may also be subject to bark beetle attacks causing additional mortality. These attacks can even be extended to neighboring trees that were not affected by the fire and cause further mortalities.

We estimate that over 50% of our tree plantations, compound of eucalyptus and pines trees, were affected in various stages. Trees planted after 2008 have been totally affected and the oldest one have only be partially affected.

Pine trees plantations, which account for 77% of the affected area, were the most resilient to flame as their thick bark does not catch fire or burn easily. It also protects the inside of the trunk, the living tissues that transport water and nutrients, from heat damage. Pine trees drop lower branches as they age, preventing fire from spreading to tree tops. Fire can destroy the cambium (tissue between wood and bark that actually grows to form wood in trees) on part of the trunk surface without necessarily killing the tree. The consequences for the tree are then proportional to the height of the charred trunk.

The good news is that our forest advisor has identified some signs of natural regrowth: Eucalyptus and pine trees have both a strong regeneration capacity. You can see some cuts of pine trees partially affected which have been sold to a wood products manufacturer.