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ARGENTINA – Local news: While the peso seems to have stabilized, inflation continue to run (July 2018).

After having reached a peak end of June (above 29 ARS/USD), the peso seems to have stabilized around 28 per USD thanks to the 3 increases in minimum reserve requirements made by the B.C.R.A. (June 18, July 2 and July 18).

Regarding inflation, that’s another story: Monthly inflation was 3.7% in June (the strongest monthly hike since 2 years) and 16% over the cumulative first six months of the year. In comparison with the month of June 2017, prices rose by 29,5%. Housing prices, water, Electricity, gas and other fuels have increased by 48.5% year-over-year. 

Meaning that national inflation rate targeted for the year by the B.C.R.A. (15%) has already been exceeded over the first six months of the year.

ARGENTINA – Update on Curupi Pora farm activities (July 2018).

Situation/weather: Even if more rains have been registered in Corrientes province since March, damage causes previously by the drought could not possibility reverse, especially for crop activities as water is required at given time. As of end of May, cumulative rainfall for the cycle was 1,120 mm or -20% compared with the historical average for the same period.

Cattle operation: Our cattle herd (5,412 heads currently) is in good conditions and the more sensitive categories to high temperature have started to recover. Young male calves are going to be send to San Bartolo farm where fattening process is easier and faster than in Curupi Pora given Salta’s climate. Young female calves are retained to increase and replace mothers’ herd. Self produced Bradford bulls will also improve internal genetic of the herd while old bull are going to be sold.

As we were able to access to the limit of the farm bordering with Santa Lucia river, we took advantage to put fences in place to segregate the floodplain in order to graze cattle on the unfloodable section as pasture are very dense there.

URUGUAY/ARGENTINA – Hot, dry spell weighs on Ag outlooks (July 2018).

The drought situation faced during the austral spring leads to a decrease of 78% of soybean export in Uruguay, compared to the same period a year ago. Argentina’s agriculture sector plummeted 31% in April on a year-on-year basis, according to government data.

For the first time, Paraguay is forecasting to export more soybeans than Argentina in order to fill the supply gap left by the drought (6.3 million tons this year from Paraguay vs 4.2 million tons from Argentina). Argentine soybean harvest just came in at 36 million tons, a drop of 38% over the previous year.

As a result, crushers are operating at less than 70% of capacity and they need to import soybean in order to keep their facilities up and running ; closing down a facility or reducing operations due to a lack of soybeans is more complex in Argentina than importing it (Cargill tried it).

In Brazil, the situation is quite the reverse. Thanks to better climatic conditions, soybean harvest should reach a new record level, and at a lesser proportion for corn. Brazil will likely surpass the U.S. as the largest producer of soybeans this year, taking over the top ranking for the first time in history. According to U.S.D.A. forecasts, the U.S. is expected to harvest 116.48 million tons of soybeans later on in 2018, falling short of Brazil’s estimated collection of 118 million tons for its crop year. Brazil, already the world’s largest soybean exporter, is expected to expand this lead in the coming years thanks to its unique ability to expand planted area in opposition with the Americans which already are using the maximum area possible.

All eyes are now focus on forthcoming harvests of the northern hemisphere were crop conditions decline due to dryer conditions, especially in the Corn Belt.

Heat waves and temperature records were beaten over the last month of June making it the 3rd hottest month registered in the U.S. by the N.O.A.A. in 124 years. Europe neither the Black Sea countries do not escape from the same problems.

URUGUAY – UPDATE ON LA ESPERANZA FARM ACTIVITIES (July 2018).

The farm is recovering more rapidly than foreseen from the recent drought, but the damage is done for this campaign.

To restore healthy pastures as quickly as possible, we concentrate on protecting existing plants and encouraging new plants. You can see OAT and Ray-grass planted 3 months ago which have developed properly.

Summer crops (Soybean & Sorghum): Harvest of both crops is now completed. Soy plants were the most affected by the drought since this crop is a large water consumer. The most important times for soybean plants to have adequate water are during pod development and seed fill, and water was then lacking as previously detailed. As a result, we get 1,25 t/ha (equivalent to the nationwide soybean yield estimated by the D.I.E.A.) vs 2,5 t/ha budgeted for the 710 ha sowed – some plots registering 600 kg/ha while others 1,7 t/ha.

Sorghum yields were less affected as we registered 4 t/ha vs 4,5 t/ha budgeted.

Cattle activities (4,065 heads): Because drought weakens plants and amplifies the effects of grazing, we have limit the time that animals spend on each pasture and supplemented the herd with silage and corn. As a result, beef production has also been affected by the drought but to a lesser extent than expected given the intensity of the drought faced.

In addition, we are in the process to increase the stocking rate of animals, mainly with cows in order to get more calves in the future. The male calves are going to be sold with 210 to 230 kg and we must compensate those with bellies. Once the number of bellies will be stabilized, we will increase meat production.

Between autumn and spring services, 2,000 bellies are going to be at work. Next year, our objective is to have around 2,400 bellies if climate conditions remain favourable (no floods in particular).

ARGENTINA – Local support to the deprived kids of Corrientes (June 2018).

As part of your engagement in the development of the local communities nearby our operations, we decided to provide a support in kind to the catholic institution of Corrientes called C.A.R.I.D.I. “Jesus Nazareno”.

We offered all our used IT equipment to this local institution so that children and teenagers can become familiar with and learn how to use these tools for the future.

ARGENTINA – A $50 Billion financing deal has been reached (June 7, 2018).

Argentina reached a three-year deal with the International Monetary Fund (I.M.F) on Thursday 06/07/18 for a $50 billion credit line, an amount that was larger than expected, which the government promoted as a vote of confidence on its market-friendly reforms.

Argentina requested I.M.F. assistance on 05/08/18 after its currency weakened sharply.

I.M.F Managing Director, Christine Lagarde, said the fund supports Argentina’s plan to try to cut its budget deficit and bring down soaring inflation.

ARGENTINA – Chinese and Argentinean governments ratify an agreement to boost Argentine meat exports (May 2018).

Four months after the announcement of an agreement to increase and diversify Argentine meat exports to China, after 15 years of negotiations, the governments of both countries announced the approval of the final protocol during the visit of the Argentine Minister of Agriculture, Luis Etchevehere, in China.

China with the European Union are the main recipients of Argentina agro-industrial exports. According to Argentina’s Agro-industry Minister , China is Argentina’s main meat export market with 50% of meat exports going to China in 2017, worth some $405 million.

ARGENTINA – Argentina’s call for IMF help to avoid crisis (May 2018).

Argentina’s central bank has raised interest rates for the third time in one week as the peso, continues to fall sharply.

Over a month, the value of the peso has melted by about 10%, mainly due to the rise in US treasury bill rates. This forced the Central Bank of Argentina on  May 4, 2018  to raise interest rate to 40% (the highest level in the world). By raising its rate, the central bank is trying to convince Argentineans to invest their money rather than buying dollars, a safe haven when inflation is high.

Argentina seeks $30 billion from the IMF to calm markets and to help to stabilise economy. President Macri has begun talks on a financing deal with IMF Director Christine Lagarde on May 8, 2018.

“Article from the Financial Time, dated 5/11/18”

Uruguay – Drought situation and Update on Santa Maria farm activities (April 2018).

Since the beginning of 2018, there has been a significant reduction in availability and access to water due to a deficit caused by a lack of rain, which has been further affected by the La Niña phenomenon.

This situation has led to the worst drought conditions faced in Uruguay since 2008/09. Local industry officials anticipated economic losses exceeding $500 million, which would rank as that nation’s most expensive disaster in history. The Uruguayan government had to declare an agricultural emergency due to drought in 14 departments in order to support family farmers (no more then 500 hectares of land to be eligible).

For us, both of our Uruguayan farms, located among the most affected departments in the country, have suffered from the prolonged drought, damaging corn and soybean production as well as cattle operations. So far, Santa Maria farm (Flores) was the most affected.

Rainfall register: Cumulative rainfall for July-March period was 737 mm, -32% compared with the historical average for the same period. During the critical month of February where corn and soybean are in blooming stage, we register only 30 mm of rain Vs 143 mm as historical average. This trend was not reversed with 26 mm registered vs 143 mm historically.

Winter crops: 374 hectares were sowed and we get 1,5 t/ha vs 3,5 t/ha Budgeted. Climate vagaries have affected production: Excess rainfalls of August and lack of water during maturity season (November/December).

Summer crops (Soybean & Corn): Around 500 hectares of soybean #1 have been sowed with delay due to soil conditions. So far, over 220 hectares have been harvested with a preliminary yield of 1.8 t/ha vs 0.6 t/ha to 1.9 t/ha in our area. Doublecrop soybean over 400 hectares was done but harvest did not started yet – expected yield should be around 1t/ha vs 1.8 t/ha budgeted.

As for corn, we are going to start soon with the harvest and in terms of yield, we expect to get around 3 t/ha vs 5,5 tons/ha budgeted.

Cattle activities: Pasture to feed the herd have evaporated due to the drought forcing us to place the calves in the feedlot and supplement them with corn. pregnant cows are also going to be supplemented as pasture are to poor in the field. Those more sensitive categories have to be management in priority.

For now, we can mitigate the impact of the drought on pastures by supplementing the herd with silage and corn. However, cattle operations are going to be affected next cycle as pasture are not going enough time to recover and their sowing period is behind us.

Paraguay – Paraguay’s business-friendly Colorado Party keeps presidency (April 24, 2018).

Conservative former senator Mario Abdo Benítez has been elected president of Paraguay on Sunday, April 24, 2018 and will beginning a five-year term on August 15. The Colorado Party has led Paraguay with only a few interruptions since 1947.

Mario Abdo Benítez, a 46-year-old marketing expert, campaigned on a promise to continue the business-friendly policies of outgoing President Horacio Cartes who won a Senate seat in Sunday’s vote. He promise in particular to retain low tax policies and boost agricultural exports.